An assessment of mumps vaccine effectiveness by dose during an outbreak in Canada

Shelley L Deeks1, Gillian H Lim, Mary Anne Simpson

  • 1Ontario Agency for Health Protection and Promotion, Toronto, Ontario. shelley.deeks@oahpp.ca

Abstract

Insights

Measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine effectiveness was assessed during an Ontario mumps outbreak. Two doses of the MMR vaccine showed higher effectiveness, highlighting the need for robust vaccination programs to prevent community transmission.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Immunology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • An outbreak of mumps occurred in Ontario, necessitating an evaluation of the measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine's effectiveness.
  • Assessing herd immunity thresholds and the coverage required to halt mumps transmission is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the vaccine effectiveness of one and two doses of the MMR vaccine during a mumps outbreak in Ontario.
  • To estimate the vaccination coverage needed to achieve herd immunity and interrupt mumps transmission.

Main Methods:

  • Confirmed mumps cases were identified using Ontario's Public Health Information System (2009-2010).
  • Vaccine effectiveness was calculated using the screening method, with reproductive numbers (R(0)) ranging from 4 to 10.
  • Data on immunization records were obtained from the Ontario Immunization Record Information System.

Main Results:

  • Out of 134 confirmed mumps cases, 114 had vaccination information. 55.3% received one MMR dose, and 28.1% received two doses.
  • One-dose MMR vaccine effectiveness ranged from 49.2% to 81.6%; two-dose effectiveness ranged from 66.3% to 88.0%.
  • To interrupt transmission with a two-dose effectiveness of 85%, coverage of 88.2% to 98.0% is required, depending on the reproductive value.

Conclusions:

  • The estimated MMR vaccine effectiveness aligns with findings from other mumps outbreaks.
  • This study underscores the importance of maintaining high vaccination rates to prevent complacency and control mumps transmission.