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Definition of a short-cut methodology for assessing earthquake-related Na-Tech risk
Valentina Busini1, Enrico Marzo, Andrea Callioni
1Politecnico di Milano, Dipartimento di Chimica, Materiali e Ingegneria Chimica Giulio Natta, Via Mancinelli 7 20131, Milano, Italy.
Abstract:
Na-Tech (Natural and Technological) refers to industrial accidents triggered by natural events such as storms, earthquakes, flooding, and lightning. Herein, a qualitative methodology for the initial assessment of earthquake Na-Tech risk has been developed as a screening tool to identify which situations require a much more expensive Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA). The proposed methodology, through suitable Key Hazard Indicators (KHIs), identifies the Na-Tech risk level associated with a given situation (i.e., a process plant located in a given territory), using the Analytical Hierarchy Process as a multi-criteria decision tool for the evaluation of such KHIs. The developed methodology was validated by comparing its computational results with QRA results that involved Na-Tech events previously presented in literature.
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