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Published on: February 26, 2013
Association between CHADS₂risk factors and anticoagulation-related bleeding: a systematic literature review
Wendy T Chen1, C Michael White, Olivia J Phung
1University of Connecticut School of Pharmacy, Storrs, CT, USA.
Insights
Warfarin use in patients with CHADS(2) risk factors shows a weak association with bleeding, except for advanced age. Stroke risk, not bleeding risk, should guide warfarin prescription decisions for these patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Pharmacology
- Evidence-Based Medicine
Background:
- The CHADS(2) score identifies patients at risk for stroke.
- Warfarin is commonly prescribed to reduce stroke risk in these patients.
- Understanding bleeding risk associated with CHADS(2) factors is crucial for safe warfarin use.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the strength of evidence linking CHADS(2) risk factors to increased bleeding risk in patients taking warfarin.
- To determine if specific CHADS(2) covariates are independently associated with bleeding events.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of MEDLINE and Cochrane CENTRAL (up to December 2009).
- Inclusion of studies reporting multivariate results on CHADS(2) covariates and warfarin-associated bleeding.
- Evaluation of evidence strength using Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality methods and GRADE criteria.
Main Results:
- Forty-one studies yielded 127 multivariate evaluations.
- No CHADS(2) covariate demonstrated high strength of evidence for association with bleeding.
- Advanced age was the only covariate with moderate evidence for major bleeding risk.
Conclusions:
- Evidence linking CHADS(2) covariates to warfarin-induced bleeding is generally weak, with age being a notable exception.
- Warfarin prescribing decisions should prioritize stroke risk over bleeding risk for patients with CHADS(2) factors.
Objective:
To determine the strength of evidence supporting an accentuated bleeding risk when patients with CHADS(2) risk factors (chronic heart failure, hypertension, advanced age, diabetes, and prior stroke/transient ischemic attack) receive warfarin.
Methods:
A systematic literature search of MEDLINE (January 1, 1950, through December 22, 2009) and Cochrane CENTRAL (through December 22, 2009) was conducted to identify studies that reported multivariate results on the association between CHADS(2) covariates and risk of bleeding in patients receiving warfarin. Each covariate was evaluated for its association with a specific type of bleeding. Individual evaluations were rated as good, fair, or poor using methods consistent with those recommended by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. The strength of the associations between each CHADS(2) covariate and a specific type of bleeding was determined using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation criteria as insufficient, very low, low, moderate, or high for the entire body of evidence.
Results:
Forty-one studies were identified, reporting 127 multivariate evaluations of the association between a CHADS(2) covariate and bleeding risk. No CHADS(2) covariate had a high strength of evidence for association with any bleeding type. For the vast majority of evaluations, the strength of evidence between covariates and bleeding was low. Advanced age was the only covariate that had a moderate strength of evidence for association; this was the strongest independent positive predictor for major bleeding. Similar findings were observed regardless of whether all included studies, or only those evaluating patients with atrial fibrillation, were assessed.
Conclusion:
The associations between CHADS(2) covariates and increased bleeding risk were weak, with the exception of age. Given the known association of the CHADS(2) score and stroke risk, the decision to prescribe warfarin should be driven more by patients' risk of stroke than by the risk of bleeding.
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