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Incidence of intussusception in early infancy: a capture-recapture estimate for Germany
S Weiß1, A Streng, R von Kries
1Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Institute for Social Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Germany. susanne.weiss@med.uni-muenchen.de
Insights
Rotavirus vaccination requires careful monitoring for intussusception (IS). This study found that IS incidence in infants under one year varies significantly by age, crucial for evaluating new rotavirus vaccines.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric epidemiology
- Vaccine safety surveillance
- Gastroenterology
Background:
- First-generation rotavirus (RV) vaccines were linked to intussusception (IS).
- Accurate baseline incidence data for infants under six months is vital for monitoring new RV vaccines.
- Understanding age-specific IS rates is crucial for post-marketing surveillance.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the age-specific incidence of intussusception (IS) in infants under one year in Germany.
- To provide reliable baseline data for monitoring the safety of new rotavirus vaccines.
Main Methods:
- A two-source capture-recapture calculation (CRC) was used.
- Data was sourced from the German Paediatric Surveillance Unit (ESPED) and hospital discharge records.
- Cases were validated using the Brighton Collaboration's definition for definite IS.
Main Results:
- The annual IS incidence in German infants (<1 year) was estimated at 61.7/100,000.
- Incidence varied by age, ranging from 19.2/100,000 in the first three months to 98.5/100,000 between months six and eight.
- The male to female ratio for infant IS was 1.7:1.
Conclusions:
- The overall IS incidence estimate in infants aligns with previous studies in Germany and Switzerland.
- Age-specific baseline incidence of IS shows significant variation within the first year of life.
- These age-specific variations must be considered when assessing potential links between IS and rotavirus vaccination.
Background:
Rotavirus (RV) vaccination with the first generation vaccine (Rotashield) has been associated with intussusception (IS). Reliable age specific baseline incidence data for children ≤6 months of age in particular is fundamental for further post marketing monitoring of potential effects of recently introduced new RV vaccines.
Methods:
IS incidence was estimated by a 2-source capture-recapture calculation (CRC) based on ESPED (German Paediatric Surveillance Unit) reports and on hospital discharge records for 2006 and 2007. ESPED as well as hospital records were validated according to the Brighton Collaboration's Group definition for definite IS.
Patients:
Children that have been treated for IS in a hospital in one of two states of Germany (North-Rhine Westphalia and Bavaria).
Results:
The annual IS incidence for infants <1 year in Germany calculated with the CRC estimate in Germany was 61.7/100 000 (95% CI: 54.5-70.1). However, the incidence appeared to vary by month of age over a range of 19.2/100 000 cases (95% CI: 12.5-30.4) in the first 3 months of life to 98.5/100 000 cases (95% CI: 80.9-120.6) during the 6 (th) to 8 (th) month. The male to female ratio for infants was 1.7:1 (95%CI: 1.6-1.8).
Conclusion:
The average incidence estimate for IS in infants (< 1 year) confirms previous estimates in Germany and Switzerland. However, age specific baseline incidence estimates for IS substantially vary during the first year of life. This has to be taken into account when analysing episodes of IS potentially associated with RV vaccination.
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