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Barry G Saver1, J Lee Hargraves, Kathleen M Mazor
1Department Family Medicine and Community Health, University of Massachusetts Medical School, 55 Lake Avenue North, Worcester, MA 01655, USA. Barry.Saver@umassmed.edu
Two major diabetes risk prediction models, the UKPDS outcomes model and the Diabetes PHD model, generated substantially different risk estimates for cardiovascular events and complications. Understanding model uncertainty is crucial for clinical decision-making.
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