Comorbidity scores for administrative data benefited from adaptation to local coding and diagnostic practices
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Published on: January 8, 2020
1Dr Foster Unit, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, 12 Smithfield Street, London EC1A 9LA, UK. robert.bottle@imperial.ac.uk
Insights
Comparing comorbidity indices for predicting hospital mortality, a modified Elixhauser index showed the best performance. Modified Charlson codes also improved prediction accuracy over the original version in English hospital data.
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Medical Informatics
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Comorbidity indices are crucial for risk adjustment in healthcare using administrative data.
- The Charlson and Elixhauser indices are widely adopted for predicting patient outcomes.
- Evaluating and refining these indices is essential for accurate risk prediction models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive performance of the original Charlson index, a modified Charlson index, and a modified Elixhauser index.
- To assess these indices in predicting in-hospital mortality using administrative data from English public hospitals.
- To evaluate the impact of code modifications and England-specific recalibration on index performance.
Main Methods:
- Logistic regression analysis was employed.
- Two years of administrative hospital data from all acute nonspecialist public hospitals in England were utilized.
- Comparisons included the original Charlson index, Charlson index with England-calibrated weights, modified Charlson codes, and a modified Elixhauser index.
Main Results:
- The modified Elixhauser index demonstrated the best predictive performance (c=0.80).
- Modified Charlson codes significantly improved discrimination (c=0.76) and model fit compared to the original version.
- England-calibrated weights for the original Charlson index offered modest improvements in model fit but similar discrimination (c=0.73).
Conclusions:
- The modified Elixhauser index is superior for predicting in-hospital mortality in the studied English population.
- Modifications to Charlson codes and weights enhance its utility for English administrative data.
- While effective, the modified Elixhauser index's weight consistency across diverse patient groups warrants further investigation.
Objective:
The Charlson and Elixhauser indices are the most commonly used comorbidity indices with risk prediction models using administrative data. Our objective was to compare the original Charlson index, a modified set of Charlson codes after advice from clinical coders, and a published modified Elixhauser index in predicting in-hospital mortality.
Study Design And Setting:
Logistic regression using two separate years of administrative hospital data for all acute nonspecialist public hospitals in England.
Results:
For all admissions combined, discrimination was similar for the Charlson index using the original codes and weights and the Charlson index using the original codes but England-calibrated weights (c=0.73), although model fit was superior for the latter. The new Charlson codes improved discrimination (c=0.76), model fit, and consistency of recording between admissions. The modified Elixhauser had the best performance (c=0.80). For admissions for acute myocardial infarction and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, the weights often differed, although the patterns were broadly similar.
Conclusion:
Recalibration of the original Charlson index yielded only modest benefits overall. The modified Charlson codes and weights offer better fit and discrimination for English data over the original version. The modified Elixhauser performed best of all, but its weights were perhaps less consistent across the different patient groups considered here.
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