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Hospital standardized mortality ratios: sensitivity analyses on the impact of coding
Alex Bottle1, Brian Jarman, Paul Aylin
1Department of Primary Care and PublicHealth, Imperial College London, 12 Smithfield St., London EC1A 9LA, UK. robert.bottle@imperial.ac
Hospital Standardized Mortality Ratios (HSMRs) showed high correlation across various adjustments, but changes in hospital ranking were common. Modest HSMR shifts can significantly alter funnel plot positions for some hospitals.
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Health Informatics
- Quality Improvement
Background:
- Hospital Standardized Mortality Ratios (HSMRs) are administrative database metrics for in-hospital deaths.
- HSMRs adjust for case mix but face criticism regarding sensitivity to clinical coding and data issues.
- Limited quantitative evidence exists on the impact of various adjustments on HSMRs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the sensitivity of HSMRs to different adjustment methodologies.
- To quantify the impact of specific data and modeling variations on HSMR calculations.
- To understand how changes in HSMRs affect hospital performance assessment.
Main Methods:
- Conducted sensitivity analyses comparing regular HSMRs with variant calculations.
- Variations included patient-based measures, altered comorbidity adjustment, palliative care inclusion/exclusion, same-day discharge handling, and diagnosis group selection.
- Analyzed correlations and magnitude of HSMR differences across methods.
Main Results:
- Regular and variant HSMRs demonstrated high correlation (ρ>0.8), yet differences up to 10 points were frequent.
- Excluding palliative care significantly impacted two hospitals; excluding same-day live discharges had minimal effect.
- Capturing post-discharge deaths and using limited diagnosis groups showed the largest impacts.
Conclusions:
- While most HSMRs showed minor changes with tested adjustments, small-to-medium shifts were not rare.
- Even modest HSMR changes can reposition a significant minority of hospitals within funnel plot control limits.
- This highlights the importance of consistent methodology in HSMR calculation for reliable performance evaluation.
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