Underestimated fracture probability in patients with unilateral hip osteoarthritis as calculated by FRAX

Osteoporosis (OP) and osteoarthritis (OA) are age-related diseases often considered to be mutually exclusive. We previously found that 25% of women with advanced OA had occult OP and that femoral neck (FN) bone mineral density (BMD) T-scores were significantly higher for osteoarthritic vs contralateral hips. The FRAX calculator incorporates clinical risk factors and FN BMD T-score to estimate 10-yr total fracture probability and hip fracture probability. In 35 women and men aged 41 yr or older with unilateral hip OA scheduled for hip replacement, we tested whether FRAX fracture probability is underestimated when using data for the OA rather than the contralateral hip. There were between-hip differences for FN BMD T-score (p<0.0001), total fracture probability (p =0.0004), and hip fracture probability (p =0.0009). Use of FN BMD T-scores resulted in OP treatment recommendations for 0% and 11% of subjects compared with 11% and 17% for total fracture probability and hip fracture probability, respectively. In 6-11% of subjects in this series, the FRAX calculator underestimated fracture probability with data for the OA hip. With the increased use of FRAX in clinical use, these data suggest that measurement of BMD at the contralateral hip may yield higher calculated FRAX total and hip fracture probabilities.