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Discounting, preferences, and paternalism in cost-effectiveness analysis.

Gustav Tinghög1

  • 1Department of Management and Engineering, Division of Economics, Linköping University, 581 83 Linköping, Sweden. gustav.tinghog@liu.se

Health Care Analysis : HCA : Journal of Health Philosophy and Policy
|September 13, 2011
PubMed
Summary

Discounting future health benefits is morally complex. Behavioral factors offer little justification for favoring the present over the future in intergenerational health decisions.

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Area of Science:

  • Health Economics
  • Moral Philosophy
  • Public Health Policy

Background:

  • Health economists commonly discount future health outcomes in cost-effectiveness analysis.
  • Discounting assigns less value to distant events compared to present ones.
  • This practice raises ethical questions regarding intergenerational and intrapersonal equity.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine the moral justification for discounting in health economic evaluations.
  • To assess the applicability of discounting arguments to both health and monetary outcomes.
  • To analyze the ethical implications of discounting for present and future generations.

Main Methods:

  • Philosophical examination of arguments for positive discounting.
  • Analysis of intergenerational and intrapersonal perspectives on time preferences.
  • Categorization of preference failures (myopic and acratic) influencing time preferences.

Main Results:

  • Behavioral arguments provide weak justification for discounting future health.
  • Diminishing marginal utility with growth offers the strongest argument for discounting, but requires assumptions of actual growth.
  • Preference failures undermine the normative relevance of elicited time preferences for social discount rates.

Conclusions:

  • Societal discounting of future health lacks strong moral basis from behavioral perspectives.
  • Growth and diminishing marginal utility arguments for discounting are strongest but context-dependent.
  • Discounting health outcomes requires careful ethical consideration beyond purely economic technicalities.