Does cardiovascular phenotype explain the association between diabetes and incident heart failure? The Strong Heart

G de Simone1, R B Devereux, M J Roman

  • 1Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA. simogi@unina.it

Insights

Diabetes significantly increases heart failure (HF) risk, even without heart attacks. Poor blood sugar control in diabetes is a key factor driving this increased HF incidence.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Endocrinology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Diabetes is a known risk factor for incident heart failure (HF).
  • Initial cardiovascular (CV) characteristics may explain the link between diabetes and HF.
  • Understanding these factors is crucial for preventing HF in diabetic populations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the relationship between diabetes and incident HF, independent of myocardial infarction (MI) and other risk factors.
  • To identify specific CV characteristics that predict HF in diabetic individuals.
  • To explore the role of metabolic control in diabetes-related HF risk.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 2757 participants from the 2nd Strong Heart Study, excluding those with prevalent HF, coronary heart disease, or severe kidney dysfunction.
  • Cox regression analysis to assess incident HF risk over an average follow-up of 8.9 years, with incident MI treated as a competing risk.
  • Statistical models controlled for multiple CV risk factors, including age, BMI, blood pressure, lipids, and inflammatory markers.

Main Results:

  • 1278 diabetic participants had a significantly higher incidence of HF (12%) compared to non-diabetic participants (5%), with an odds ratio of 2.89.
  • Incident HF was predicted by greater left ventricular (LV) mass index, larger left atrium, lower systolic function, and higher urinary albumin/creatinine ratio.
  • Diabetes increased the hazard of HF by 66%, with HbA1c levels explaining a significant portion of this effect.

Conclusions:

  • Incident HF is more common in diabetes, independent of MI, abnormal LV geometry, and subclinical dysfunction.
  • Poor glycemic control (HbA1c) is a significant driver of HF risk in diabetic patients.
  • Identifying high-risk CV phenotypes in diabetes is essential for targeted HF prevention strategies.
Abstract

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