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Updated: May 28, 2026

Establishment and Evaluation of a Risk Prediction Model for Pathological Escalation of Gastric Low-Grade Intraepithelial Neoplasia
Published on: February 16, 2024
Application of Variable Life Adjusted Display (VLAD) to risk-adjusted mortality of esophagogastric cancer surgery
R V Guest1, V V Chandrabalan, G D Murray
1Department of Surgery, Dumfries and Galloway Royal Infirmary, Bankend Road, Dumfries, DG1 4AP, UK. rvguest@doctors.org.uk
Purpose:
In the new era of revalidation, there is an increasing need to measure surgical outcome objectively. We apply a graphical method, the Variable Life Adjusted Display (VLAD), to esophagogastric resection for malignancy. This technique charts the cumulative difference between expected and actual risk-adjusted mortality over time, allowing observation of performance trends irrespective of case-mix.
Methods:
P-POSSUM was applied retrospectively to 182 consecutive patients who underwent resection for esophageal or gastric malignancy in a district general hospital. The primary outcome measured was 30-day mortality.
Results:
A total of 168 patients were eligible for inclusion, with a median age of 68 years. The overall 30-day mortality rate was 4.2% compared with 7.1% as predicted by P-POSSUM. The resulting VLAD plot demonstrates an upward trend of better than predicted surgical performance.
Conclusions:
VLAD has been hereby applied to esophagogastric surgery and has graphically demonstrated risk-adjusted trends in a single general surgeon's performance. For qualitative comparative purposes, including recertification, VLAD is judged to be a simple, directly interpretable, and useful technique for monitoring surgical performance.