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Severity predictors in eschar-positive scrub typhus and role of serum osteopontin
Sang-Won Park1, Chang-Seop Lee, Chi Kug Lee
1Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. hswon1@snu.ac.kr
Abstract:
We prospectively evaluated severity predictors in terms of host, microorganism, and treatment factors in 153 eschar-positive scrub typhus patients. Severity was assessed with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score (< 10 versus ≥ 10) and predefined criteria of severe complications. Genotypes of Orientia tsutsugamushi were determined. Independent risk factors for severity (APACHE II score ≥ 10) were old age, diabetes mellitus, serum osteopontin > 100 ng/mL, and a group of underlying diseases (congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, chronic liver disease, bronchial asthma, and chronic obstructive lung diseases). Anemia (≤ 10 g/dL) and C-reactive protein > 10 mg/dL were indicators of current severity. Neither the delay in antibiotics administration nor strain types (Boryong, Taguchi, or Kanda/Kawasaki) contributed to the severity. The risk factors for severe complications were similar. Serum osteopontin > 100 ng/mL had a negative predictive value of 96% for severe complications. This marker can be used to rule out severe disease status.
Insights
Predicting scrub typhus severity is possible using patient factors like age and diabetes, not bacterial strains. High osteopontin levels can rule out severe complications in scrub typhus patients.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Scrub typhus, caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi, is a significant public health concern.
- Predicting disease severity is crucial for timely and appropriate patient management.
- Host, microbial, and treatment factors may influence scrub typhus outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent predictors of severity in eschar-positive scrub typhus patients.
- To evaluate the role of host factors, microorganism genotypes, and treatment delays in disease severity.
- To assess the utility of serum osteopontin as a severity marker.
Main Methods:
- Prospective evaluation of 153 eschar-positive scrub typhus patients.
- Severity assessment using Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score and predefined criteria for severe complications.
- Determination of Orientia tsutsugamushi genotypes.
Main Results:
- Independent risk factors for severity (APACHE II score ≥ 10) included old age, diabetes mellitus, serum osteopontin > 100 ng/mL, and underlying diseases.
- Anemia (≤ 10 g/dL) and elevated C-reactive protein (> 10 mg/dL) indicated current severity.
- Neither antibiotic delay nor specific Orientia tsutsugamushi strain types (Boryong, Taguchi, Kanda/Kawasaki) correlated with severity.
- Serum osteopontin > 100 ng/mL demonstrated a 96% negative predictive value for severe complications.
Conclusions:
- Host-related factors, particularly old age, diabetes, and pre-existing conditions, are key predictors of scrub typhus severity.
- Serum osteopontin is a valuable negative predictive marker for severe complications, aiding in ruling out severe disease.
- Microorganism strain types and antibiotic administration timing do not appear to influence scrub typhus severity in this cohort.
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