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Published on: September 1, 2017
Match probabilities for multiple siblings
1Netherlands Forensic Institute, P.O. Box 24044, 2490 AA The Hague, The Netherlands. k.slooten@nfi.minjus.nl
Abstract:
A defendant whose DNA profile matches that of a crime stain may argue that he has several, say n, brothers and that one of them may have been the origin of the crime stain. If the probability for any of the brothers considered separately to match the crime stain profile is p, we show that the probability that at least one of the n brothers match is strictly smaller than np. This latter quantity therefore is an easy to compute and conservative value to report.
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