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Retinal microvascular calibre and risk of incident diabetes: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis
Joanne Wen Yee Yau1, Jing Xie, Ecosse Lamoureux
1Centre for Eye Research Australia, The Royal Victorian Eye and Ear Hospital, University of Melbourne, Australia. jwyau@unimelb.edu.au
Insights
Wider retinal arterioles are linked to a higher risk of developing diabetes, particularly in Caucasian individuals. This finding suggests early microvascular changes may play a role in diabetes development.
Area of Science:
- Ophthalmology
- Endocrinology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Retinal microvascular signs may indicate systemic vascular health.
- Early detection of diabetes risk factors is crucial for prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between retinal microvascular signs and new-onset diabetes and impaired fasting glucose (IFG).
- To examine these associations in a multi-ethnic population.
Main Methods:
- Prospective analysis of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis cohort.
- Quantification of retinal vascular calibre and retinopathy from baseline photographs.
- Ascertainment of incident diabetes and IFG over a median 3-year follow-up.
Main Results:
- Wider retinal arteriolar calibre was associated with an increased risk of incident diabetes (HR: 1.60).
- This association was significant in Caucasians (HR: 2.78) but not other ethnic groups.
- Retinal venular calibre and retinopathy were not associated with diabetes or IFG risk.
Conclusions:
- Wider retinal arteriolar calibre is an independent predictor of diabetes risk.
- The association appears stronger in Caucasians, suggesting ethnic differences in microvascular pathways.
- Early arteriolar changes may contribute to diabetes development.
Aim:
To prospectively examine the association of retinal microvascular signs with incident diabetes and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) in a multi-ethnic population-based cohort.
Methods:
The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis comprised Caucasians, African-Americans, Hispanics and Chinese aged 45-84 years. Retinal vascular calibre and retinopathy were quantified from baseline retinal photographs. Incident diabetes and IFG were ascertained prospectively.
Results:
After a median follow-up of 3 years, 243 (4.9%) people developed diabetes and 565 (15.0%) developed IFG. After adjusting for known risk factors, participants with wider retinal arteriolar calibre had a higher risk of developing diabetes [HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.12-2.29, p=0.011 comparing highest with lowest arteriolar calibre tertile]. In ethnic subgroup analysis, the association between wider retinal arteriolar calibre and incident diabetes was stronger and statistically significant only in Caucasians [HR: 2.78; 95% CI: 1.37-5.62, p=0.005]. Retinal venular calibre and retinopathy signs were not related to risk of diabetes or IFG.
Conclusion:
Wider retinal arteriolar calibre is independently associated with an increased risk of diabetes, supporting a possible role for early arteriolar changes in diabetes development. This effect was largely seen in Caucasians, and not in other ethnic groups, and may reflect ethnic differences in susceptibility to diabetes from microvascular pathways.
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