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Risk factors for in-hospital venous thromboembolism in children: a case-control study employing diagnostic validation
Brian R Branchford1, Peter Mourani, Lalit Bajaj
1Department of Pediatrics, Section of Hematology/Oncology/Bone Marrow Transplantation, University of Colorado-Denver and Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, CO 80045-0507, USA. brian.branchford@childrens-colorado.org
Insights
Mechanical ventilation, systemic infection, and prolonged hospitalization are key risk factors for pediatric in-hospital venous thromboembolism. Identifying these factors can help predict and prevent dangerous blood clots in children.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric critical care medicine
- Hematology
- Clinical epidemiology
Background:
- Limited data exists on pediatric in-hospital venous thromboembolism risk factors due to case definition quality and lack of controlled studies.
- Previous research has not adequately identified specific risk factors for pediatric venous thromboembolism (VTE).
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify and validate risk factors associated with the development of in-hospital venous thromboembolism in children.
- To establish a reliable method for diagnosing pediatric in-hospital VTE.
Main Methods:
- A case-control study was conducted at The Children's Hospital, Colorado, between 2003 and 2009.
- Diagnostic validation methods were used to confirm VTE cases.
- Retrospective collection of clinical data on potential risk factors from medical records.
Main Results:
- An incidence of 5 VTE cases per 10,000 hospitalized children annually was observed.
- Mechanical ventilation, systemic infection, and hospitalization duration of ≥5 days were significant independent risk factors.
- A risk model incorporating these factors predicted a 3.6% post-test probability of VTE.
Conclusions:
- The identified risk factor combination suggests a potentially higher VTE risk in children than in hospitalized adults.
- Further multicenter studies are needed to validate these findings.
- Results could inform future risk-stratified randomized trials for pediatric VTE prevention.
Background:
Studies evaluating risk factors for in-hospital venous thromboembolism in children are limited by quality assurance of case definition and/or lack of controlled comparison. The objective of this study is to determine risk factors for the development of in-hospital venous thromboembolism in children.
Design And Methods:
In a case-control study at The Children's Hospital, Colorado, from 1(st) January 2003 to 31(st) December 2009 we employed diagnostic validation methods to determine pediatric in-hospital venous thromboembolism risk factors. Clinical data on putative risk factors were retrospectively collected from medical records of children with International Classification of Diseases, 9th edition codes of venous thromboembolism at discharge, in whom radiological reports confirmed venous thromboembolism and no signs/symptoms of venous thromboembolism were noted on admission.
Results:
We verified 78 cases of in-hospital venous thromboembolism, yielding an average incidence of 5 per 10,000 hospitalized children per year. Logistical regression analyses revealed that mechanical ventilation, systemic infection, and hospitalization duration of five days or over were statistically significant, independent risk factors for in-hospital venous thromboembolism (OR=3.29, 95%CI=1.53-7.06, P=0.002; OR=3.05, 95%CI=1.57-5.94, P=0.001; and OR=1.03, 95%CI=1.01-1.04, P=0.001, respectively). Using these factors in a risk model, post-test probability of venous thromboembolism was 3.6%.
Conclusions:
These data indicate that risk of in-hospital venous thromboembolism in children with this risk factor combination may exceed that of hospitalized adults in whom prophylactic anticoagulation is indicated. Substantiation of these findings via multicenter studies could provide the basis for future risk-stratified randomized control trials of pediatric venous thromboembolism prevention.
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