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A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2012
William J Sutherland1, Ros Aveling, Leon Bennun
1Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, Cambridge University, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK. w.sutherland@zoo.cam.ac.uk
Trends in Ecology & Evolution
|December 3, 2011
Summary
This study identifies 15 emerging issues crucial for future biological diversity conservation. Experts used horizon scanning to pinpoint potential climate, technology, and behavior changes impacting conservation efforts.
Area of Science:
- Conservation Science
- Environmental Science
- Biodiversity Studies
Background:
- Annual horizon scans are vital for proactive conservation planning.
- Identifying emerging issues is crucial for safeguarding biological diversity.
- Current conservation strategies need to anticipate future challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify emerging issues with potential future importance for biodiversity conservation.
- To provide a forward-looking perspective on conservation challenges.
- To inform conservation strategies by highlighting under-recognized threats.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a diverse team of 22 experts in horizon scanning and conservation science.
- Employed established methods for issue identification and refinement, transferable to other disciplines.
- Focused on issues currently receiving limited attention but with potential future significance.
Main Results:
- Identified 15 key issues with potential future impacts on biological diversity.
- Highlighted potential changes driven by climate (e.g., deep sea warming, Arctic tundra burning).
- Included technological advancements (e.g., perennial grains, nuclear batteries, hydrokinetic turbines) and human behavior shifts.
Conclusions:
- Proactive identification of emerging issues is essential for effective biodiversity conservation.
- Interdisciplinary expertise is crucial for comprehensive horizon scanning.
- Anticipating changes in climate, technology, and human behavior is key to future conservation success.
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