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Charlson comorbidity score is a strong predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients
Manoch Rattanasompattikul1, Usama Feroze, Miklos Z Molnar
1Harold Simmons Center for Chronic Disease Research and Epidemiology, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, 1124 West Carson Street, C1-Annex, Torrance, CA 90502, USA.
Insights
The modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), excluding age, effectively predicts mortality in hemodialysis patients. This modified index offers a robust tool for assessing patient risk and improving outcomes in this population.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Epidemiology
- Biostatistics
Background:
- The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) is widely used for morbidity assessment.
- Its utility in predicting mortality among hemodialysis patients remains unclear.
- Age, a key component of CCI, is a known risk factor for mortality in chronic diseases.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the predictive value of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) without age for mortality in hemodialysis patients.
- To test the hypothesis that a modified CCI (mCCI) is a strong predictor of mortality.
- To assess the association between mCCI and mortality in a hemodialysis cohort.
Main Methods:
- A 6-year prospective cohort study involving 893 hemodialysis patients.
- A modified CCI (mCCI) was calculated, excluding age and kidney disease.
- Statistical analysis included adjustment for case-mix, nutritional, and inflammatory markers.
Main Results:
- Higher quartiles of mCCI were significantly associated with increased mortality risk.
- Each one-unit increase in mCCI score correlated with a 1.16 hazard ratio for death.
- The association between mCCI and mortality was robust, particularly in non-African American patients.
Conclusions:
- The modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), independent of age, is a reliable and linear predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients.
- This finding is especially relevant for non-African American individuals undergoing hemodialysis.
- The mCCI offers a valuable tool for risk stratification in hemodialysis populations.
Purpose:
The Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) is a commonly used scale for assessing morbidity, but its role in assessing mortality in hemodialysis patients is not clear. Age, a component of CCI, is a strong risk factor for morbidity and mortality in chronic diseases and correlates with comorbidities. We hypothesized that the Charlson comorbidity index without age is a strong predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients.
Methods:
A 6-year cohort of 893 hemodialysis patients was examined for an association between a modified CCI (without age and kidney disease) (mCCI) and mortality.
Results:
Patients were 53±15 years old (mean±SD), had a median mCCI score of 2, and included 47% women, 31% African Americans and 55% diabetics. After adjusting for case-mix and nutritional and inflammatory markers including C-reactive protein and interleukin-6, 2nd (mCCI: 1-2), 3rd (mCCI=3), and 4th (mCCI: 4-9) quartiles compared to 1st (mCCI=0) quartiles showed death hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.43 (0.92-2.23), 1.70 (1.06-2.72), and 2.33 (1.43-3.78), respectively. The mCCI-death association was robust in non-African Americans. The CCI-death association linearity was verified in cubic splines. Each 1 unit higher mCCI score was associated with a death hazard ratio of 1.16 (1.07-1.27).
Conclusions:
CCI independent of age is a robust and linear predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients, in particular in non-African Americans.
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