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Updated: May 26, 2026

Development of an Individual-Tree Basal Area Increment Model using a Linear Mixed-Effects Approach
Published on: July 3, 2020
Chain binomial models and binomial autoregressive processes
Christian H Weiss1, Philip K Pollett
1Department of Mathematics, Darmstadt University of Technology, Schlossgartenstrasse 7, 64289 Darmstadt, Germany. weiss@mathematik.tu-darmstadt.de
Abstract:
We establish a connection between a class of chain-binomial models of use in ecology and epidemiology and binomial autoregressive (AR) processes. New results are obtained for the latter, including expressions for the lag-conditional distribution and related quantities. We focus on two types of chain-binomial model, extinction-colonization and colonization-extinction models, and present two approaches to parameter estimation. The asymptotic distributions of the resulting estimators are studied, as well as their finite-sample performance, and we give an application to real data. A connection is made with standard AR models, which also has implications for parameter estimation.
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