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Internal consistency as a method to assess the quality of dating estimates using multiple markers
Francesco Nardi1, Antonio Carapelli, Francesco Frati
1Dept. of Evolutionary Biology, University of Siena, via Aldo Moro 2, 53100 Siena, Italy. nardifra@unisi.it
Abstract:
Multiple tools are available to infer time in phylogentic reconstructions and multiple markers/genes are generally used to obtain more solid reconstructions, opening to the issue of which marker performs better in dating. Following the observation that multiple markers, applied to the same group of taxa or even to the same topology, generally produce different time estimates, we suggest two new estimators: DD(jk) to quantify the discordance between two ultrametric dated trees with identical topology and ID(j) to quantify the discordance of one tree with respect to a study-set of trees in terms of their date estimates. Furthermore we suggest a procedure based on a stepwise exclusion algorithm to rank trees from the most to the least consistent with the study-set of trees based on their time estimates. We name the quality of a tree of having time estimates that agree with the majority of other trees as 'internal consistency'. We applied this procedure to assess the internal consistency of trees individually obtained from 14 mitochondrial markers in 5 insect orders and to test whether one or more markers repeatedly produce dates that are more consistent. Three genes (nad4, nad5 and cytb) repeatedly perform better than others, one (cox2) worse. We suggest this method could be applied in evaluating the performance of different markers preliminary to a dating analysis.
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