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Updated: May 26, 2026

Assessment of Vascular Function in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease
Published on: June 16, 2014
Association of home blood pressure variability with progression of chronic kidney disease
Tomonari Okada1, Hiroshi Matsumoto, Yume Nagaoka
1Department of Nephrology, Tokyo Medical University, Tokyo, Japan. t-okada@tokyo-med.ac.jp
Insights
Day-by-day home blood pressure (HBP) variability does not significantly predict chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. This study found no association between HBP variability metrics and changes in kidney function or renal events in CKD patients.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Home blood pressure (HBP) monitoring is recognized for predicting chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression.
- Understanding the impact of blood pressure (BP) variability on CKD progression is crucial for clinical management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the clinical significance of day-by-day HBP variability in predicting the progression of CKD.
- To clarify the association between BP variability metrics and renal outcomes in patients with stage 3-5 CKD.
Main Methods:
- Recruited 135 patients with stage 3-5 CKD for daily HBP measurements over 7 days.
- Collected BP data morning and evening, with follow-up every 6 months for 36 months.
- Analyzed associations between BP variability (SD, CV, ARV) and renal outcomes using multivariate regression and Cox proportional hazards analysis.
Main Results:
- No significant correlations were observed between SD, CV, or ARV of morning systolic BP and the change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).
- Multivariate regression analysis showed no significant association between BP variability metrics and eGFR decline (P > 0.05).
- Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that none of the BP variability metrics posed a significant risk for renal events (P > 0.05).
Conclusions:
- Day-by-day BP variability, assessed through HBP measurements, demonstrated no significant association with CKD progression.
- The findings suggest that short-term BP variability may not be a reliable predictor of renal outcomes in patients with moderate to advanced CKD.
Objective:
Home blood pressure (HBP) has been found to be a predictor of the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). The objective of this study is to clarify the clinical significance of day-by-day HBP variability on the progression of CKD.
Methods:
We recruited 135 patients with stage 3-5 CKD, who performed daily HBP measurements, every morning and evening over 7 consecutive days and recorded every 6 months, with a follow-up of 36 months. We examined the associations between the variables of blood pressure (BP) variability [SD, coefficient of variation (CV), average real variability (ARV)], and renal outcomes.
Results:
No significant correlations were found between the SD values, the CV values, the ARV values of each BP measurement, and the change in estimated glomerular filtration rate on multivariate regression analysis (β of SD, CV, and ARV of morning systolic BP: 0.04, 0.04, and 0.02; P=0.69, 0.63, and 0.20, respectively). None of these variables of each BP measurement showed a significant risk of renal events on multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis (hazard ratios of SD, CV, and ARV of morning systolic BP: 0.99 (95% confidence intervals: 0.80-1.23), 0.97 (0.72-1.31), and 1.01 (0.83-1.24); P=0.94, 0.86, and 0.92, respectively).
Conclusion:
Day-by-day BP variability as assessed by HBP measurements had no significant association with the progression of CKD.
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