Related Experiment Video
Updated: May 26, 2026

Investigating the Relationship between Sea Surface Chlorophyll and Major Features of the South China Sea with Satellite Information
Published on: June 13, 2020
Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5°N
Daniela Matei1, Johanna Baehr, Johann H Jungclaus
1Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany. Daniela.Matei@zmaw.de
Abstract:
Attempts to predict changes in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) have yielded little success to date. Here, we demonstrate predictability for monthly mean AMOC strength at 26.5°N for up to 4 years in advance. This AMOC predictive skill arises predominantly from the basin-wide upper-mid-ocean geostrophic transport, which in turn can be predicted because we have skill in predicting the upper-ocean zonal density difference. Ensemble forecasts initialized between January 2008 and January 2011 indicate a stable AMOC at 26.5°N until at least 2014, despite a brief wind-induced weakening in 2010. Because AMOC influences many aspects of climate, our results establish AMOC as an important potential carrier of climate predictability.
Related Concept Videos
Precipitation Gravimetry
In determining nickel by gravimetric analysis, a precipitant of ethanolic dimethylglyoxime is added to a hot nickel salt solution. This is quickly followed by the dropwise addition of dilute ammonia solution until precipitation occurs. A...
Magnetic Declination
Magnetostatic Boundary Conditions
Global Climate Change
Coriolis Force
Precipitation and Co-precipitation
