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Related Experiment Video

Updated: May 25, 2026

Phenotypic Analysis of Rodent Malaria Parasite Asexual and Sexual Blood Stages and Mosquito Stages
08:23

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Published on: May 30, 2019

Global malaria mortality between 1980 and 2010: a systematic analysis.

Christopher J L Murray1, Lisa C Rosenfeld, Stephen S Lim

  • 1Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98121, USA.

Lancet (London, England)
|February 7, 2012
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Malaria deaths peaked in 2004 and decreased by 2010, but the overall burden, especially in adults, remains higher than previously thought. Increased donor support is crucial for malaria elimination efforts.

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Area of Science:

  • Global Health
  • Epidemiology
  • Infectious Disease Modeling

Background:

  • Renewed global and national efforts to combat malaria have set ambitious goals.
  • Accurate assessment of malaria mortality trends is essential for evaluating progress and focusing future interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To provide an accurate assessment of malaria mortality levels and time trends from 1980 to 2010.
  • To inform progress evaluation and guide future malaria control strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic collection and correction of malaria mortality data (1980-2010).
  • Development of ensemble predictive models incorporating Plasmodium falciparum prevalence, drug resistance, and vector control.
  • Utilized out-of-sample predictive validity for final model selection.

Main Results:

  • Global malaria deaths peaked in 2004 (1.8M) and declined to 1.2M by 2010.
  • African malaria deaths increased to 1.6M in 2004, then decreased ~30% to 1.1M by 2010.
  • Estimated higher mortality in adults (>5 years) than previously reported.

Conclusions:

  • Malaria mortality burden is greater than previously estimated, particularly in adults.
  • Significant reduction in African malaria mortality attributed to scaled-up control activities.
  • Sustained and increased donor support is vital for achieving malaria elimination and broader health goals.