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An adaptive seamless phase II/III design for oncology trials with subpopulation selection using correlated survival
Martin Jenkins1, Andrew Stone, Christopher Jennison
1AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals, Global Clinical Development, Parklands, Alderley Park, Macclesfield, UK. Martin.Jenkins@astrazeneca.com
Abstract:
Although the statistical methods enabling efficient adaptive seamless designs are increasingly well established, it is important to continue to use the endpoints and specifications that best suit the therapy area and stage of development concerned when conducting such a trial. Approaches exist that allow adaptive designs to continue seamlessly either in a subpopulation of patients or in the whole population on the basis of data obtained from the first stage of a phase II/III design: our proposed design adds extra flexibility by also allowing the trial to continue in all patients but with both the subgroup and the full population as co-primary populations. Further, methodology is presented which controls the Type-I error rate at less than 2.5% when the phase II and III endpoints are different but correlated time-to-event endpoints. The operating characteristics of the design are described along with a discussion of the practical aspects in an oncology setting.
Insights
This study introduces a flexible adaptive seamless design for clinical trials, enhancing patient subgroup and full population analysis. It ensures Type-I error control for correlated time-to-event endpoints in oncology settings.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Trial Design
- Biostatistics
- Oncology Research
Background:
- Adaptive seamless designs are crucial for efficient clinical trials.
- Existing methods allow seamless continuation in subpopulations or the whole population.
- Optimizing trial design requires careful selection of endpoints and specifications.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a novel adaptive seamless design with enhanced flexibility.
- To allow continuation in both subgroup and full populations as co-primary objectives.
- To present methodology for controlling Type-I error with distinct yet correlated time-to-event endpoints.
Main Methods:
- Development of a flexible adaptive seamless design framework.
- Methodology for Type-I error rate control (<2.5%) for correlated time-to-event endpoints.
- Evaluation of operating characteristics and practical considerations.
Main Results:
- The proposed design offers increased flexibility in adaptive seamless trials.
- Co-primary populations (subgroup and full) can be maintained.
- Effective Type-I error control is demonstrated for differing, correlated endpoints.
Conclusions:
- The enhanced adaptive seamless design improves trial efficiency and flexibility.
- This approach is particularly relevant for oncology clinical trials.
- The methodology provides robust statistical control for complex endpoint scenarios.
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