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Signal Acquisition, Score Interpretation, and Economics of a Non-Invasive Point-of-Care Test for Coronary Artery Disease
Published on: August 9, 2024
Negative coronary CT angiography for chest pain assessment predicts low event rate in 5 years
Fei Y Chong1, Kean Soon, Fraser Brown
1Centre for Cardiovascular Therapeutics/Western Radiology, Western Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. feiyon@yahoo.com
Insights
A negative coronary CT angiography (CTA) reliably predicts a low risk of major cardiovascular events over five years. This diagnostic imaging technique offers excellent long-term prognostic value for patients presenting with chest pain.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Imaging
- Diagnostic Accuracy
- Long-term Prognosis
Background:
- Coronary CT angiography (CTA) is increasingly used for evaluating chest pain.
- While short-term outcomes are well-established, long-term prognostic data for negative coronary CTA are limited.
- This study addresses the need for understanding the long-term predictive value of negative coronary CTA.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the long-term prognostic value of a negative coronary CT angiography (CTA) in patients presenting with chest pain.
- To determine the rate of major adverse cardiovascular events following a negative CTA over an extended follow-up period.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective observational study of 259 patients who underwent coronary CTA.
- Negative coronary CTA defined as no stenosis ≥50% using the AHA 16-segment model.
- Primary endpoint: composite of myocardial infarction, myocardial death, or revascularization.
Main Results:
- Seventy out of 259 patients had negative coronary CTA results.
- Mean follow-up was 4.64 years.
- Only one patient experienced a major adverse cardiovascular event, yielding a negative predictive value of 0.986 (95% CI: 0.92-0.99).
Conclusions:
- A negative coronary CTA demonstrates high long-term prognostic value.
- It predicts a low incidence of major cardiovascular events within a 5-year timeframe.
- This finding supports the use of coronary CTA in risk stratification for chest pain patients with low-to-intermediate pretest probability.
Introduction:
Coronary CT angiography (CTA) is becoming a popular investigation for chest pain. A negative coronary CTA is known to have a good negative predictive value for major adverse cardiovascular events in short term. The data on the long-term outcomes of negative coronary CTA are lacking. We aim to investigate the long-term prognostic value of negative coronary CTA in the evaluation of chest pain.
Methods:
This was a retrospective observational study involving 259 cases of coronary CTA on our registry from July 2004 to November 2006. All coronary CTA were performed with GE 16-slice CT and then GE 64-slice CT scanner in late 2006. A negative coronary CTA was defined as no single coronary segment with stenosis ≥50% based on American Heart Association 16-segment model. The end point of the study was defined as a composite of major cardiovascular events such as myocardial infarction, myocardial death or revascularisation.
Results:
Seventy cases of 259 on the registry were diagnosed as negative studies. Mean follow-up period was 4.64 ± 0.6 years (range from 3.4 to 5.7 years). Of these negative studies, only one patient suffered from the end point during the follow-up. Thus, the negative predictive value of a negative coronary CTA for a long-term major cardiovascular event was 0.986 (95% confidence interval: 0.92-0.99).
Conclusions:
A negative coronary CTA in patients with a low or intermediate pretest probability for significant coronary artery disease predicts a low rate of major cardiovascular events within a 5-year period.
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