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The future of medicine
1College of Business, University of Louisville, KY 40292, USA. professor.ray@louisville.edu
The American Journal of Medicine
|February 21, 2012
Summary
Prediction markets offer uncannily accurate forecasts for diverse events. Their application in medicine can significantly advance medical science and clinical applications by predicting cures and epidemics.
Area of Science:
- Medical Science
- Health Informatics
- Predictive Analytics
Background:
- Prediction markets are an innovative forecasting tool.
- These markets have demonstrated significant accuracy in predicting various events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the innovation of prediction markets.
- To demonstrate their significant applications in the science of medicine.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of prediction market innovation.
- Review of studies on prediction market accuracy.
Main Results:
- Prediction markets make "uncannily accurate" predictions.
- These markets can forecast diverse event types.
Conclusions:
- Medical prediction markets can greatly advance medical science.
- Applications include predicting cures, epidemics, and medical discoveries.
- Enhanced prediction capabilities can further clinical applications.
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