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Within-visit variability of blood pressure and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among US adults
Paul Muntner1, Emily B Levitan, Kristi Reynolds
1Department of Epidemiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, 1665 University Boulevard, Birmingham, AL 35294, USA. pmuntner@uab.edu
Insights
Within-visit blood pressure variability, specifically systolic blood pressure (SBP) standard deviation, did not significantly predict all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in a large US health survey. Further analysis confirmed no association between SBP variability and mortality risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Blood pressure variability is an emerging cardiovascular risk factor.
- Within-visit variability, measured by standard deviation of readings during a single encounter, has not been extensively studied in relation to mortality.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between within-visit variability of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.
- To determine if SBP or DBP variability predicts long-term mortality risk.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) with 15,317 participants.
- Three SBP and DBP measurements were taken per participant during one visit.
- Within-visit variability was calculated as the standard deviation of these measurements.
- Mortality data (all-cause and CVD) were tracked over a 14-year follow-up period.
Main Results:
- After adjusting for age, sex, and race-ethnicity, higher quintiles of within-visit SBP standard deviation showed no statistically significant association with increased all-cause mortality (P=.136) or CVD mortality (P=.566).
- Further adjustments and continuous variable modeling of SBP standard deviation also revealed no significant link to mortality.
- Within-visit standard deviation of DBP was not associated with any mortality outcome.
Conclusions:
- Within-visit variability of SBP, as measured by standard deviation, does not appear to be a significant independent predictor of all-cause or CVD mortality in the general population.
- These findings suggest that single-visit blood pressure variability may not be a critical factor for long-term mortality risk assessment.
Abstract:
The association between within-visit variability of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and all-cause and cardiovascular (CVD) mortality was examined using the Third National Health and Nutrition Survey (n=15,317). Three SBP and DBP readings were taken by physicians during a single medical evaluation. Within-visit variability for each participant was defined using the standard deviation of SBP and DBP across these measurements. Mortality was assessed over 14 years (n=3848 and n=1684 deaths from all causes and CVD, respectively). After age, sex, and race-ethnicity adjustment, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for all-cause mortality associated with the 4 highest quintiles of within-visit standard deviation of SBP (2.00-2.99 mm Hg, 3.00-3.99 mm Hg, 4.00-5.29 mm Hg, and ≥5.30 mm Hg) compared with participants in the lowest quintile of within-visit standard deviation of SBP (<2.0 mm Hg) were 1.04 (0.87-1.26), 1.09 (0.92-1.29), 1.06 (0.88-1.28), and 1.13 (0.95-1.33), respectively (P=.136). The analogous hazard ratios for CVD mortality were 0.95 (0.69-1.32), 0.96 (0.67-1.36), 0.95 (0.74-1.23), and 1.04 (0.80-1.35), respectively (P=.566). No association with mortality was present after further adjustment and when modeling within-visit standard deviation of SBP as a continuous variable. Standard deviation of DBP was not associated with mortality.
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