Brain volume and diffusion markers as predictors of disability and short-term disease evolution in multiple sclerosis

P G Sämann1, M Knop, E Golgor

  • 1Neuroimaging Research Group, Max Planck Institute of Psychiatry, Munich, Germany. saemann@mpipsykl.mpg.de

Abstract

Insights

Diffusion histogram analysis and brain volume effectively predict disability in multiple sclerosis (MS). Advanced neuroaxonal damage at baseline indicates a higher risk of sustained MS progression over 12 months.

Area of Science:

  • Neuroimaging
  • Neurology
  • Radiology

Background:

  • Neuroaxonal damage in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a key predictor of long-term disability.
  • Understanding MRI markers for predicting MS progression is crucial for patient management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate whole-brain diffusivity and brain volume as predictors of cross-sectional disability in MS.
  • To assess the potential of these MRI markers for predicting short- to medium-term clinical evolution in MS patients.

Main Methods:

  • A prospective longitudinal MRI study involving 54 MS patients.
  • Utilized ADC histogram analysis, white matter lesion load, brain parenchymal fraction (BPF), and atrophy rates.
  • Assessed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and MS Functional Composite (MSFC) scores at baseline and 12-month follow-up.

Main Results:

  • ADC histogram analysis robustly predicted MSFC and EDSS scores at both time points.
  • Significant changes in ADC histogram markers and BPF were observed over 12 months.
  • Baseline diffusivity alterations and lower BPF predicted MSFC decline, independent of relapses.

Conclusions:

  • Diffusion histogram analysis serves as a reliable surrogate for disability in MS.
  • It is sensitive for monitoring disease progression over a 12-month period.
  • Early neuroaxonal pathology predicts sustained MS progression, irrespective of relapses.