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Noise-induced volatility of collective dynamics
Georges Harras1, Claudio J Tessone, Didier Sornette
1Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks, D-MTEC, ETH Zurich, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland.
Abstract:
Noise-induced volatility refers to a phenomenon of increased level of fluctuations in the collective dynamics of bistable units in the presence of a rapidly varying external signal, and intermediate noise levels. The archetypical signature of this phenomenon is that-beyond the increase in the level of fluctuations-the response of the system becomes uncorrelated with the external driving force, making it different from stochastic resonance. Numerical simulations and an analytical theory of a stochastic dynamical version of the Ising model on regular and random networks demonstrate the ubiquity and robustness of this phenomenon, which is argued to be a possible cause of excess volatility in financial markets, of enhanced effective temperatures in a variety of out-of-equilibrium systems, and of strong selective responses of immune systems of complex biological organisms. Extensive numerical simulations are compared with a mean-field theory for different network topologies.
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