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Severity scores in children with acute pancreatitis
Alexandre Fabre1, Philippe Petit, Jean Gaudart
1Service de Pédiatrie Multidisciplinaire, Hôpital des Enfants de la Timone, APHM, Marseille, France. alexandre.fabre@ap-hm.fr
Insights
Predicting pediatric acute pancreatitis (AP) severity is crucial. The Balthazar computed tomography (CT) severity index showed the best accuracy in children, outperforming traditional clinical scores.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Gastroenterology
- Medical Imaging
- Clinical Scoring Systems
Background:
- Acute pancreatitis (AP) severity prediction is vital for patient outcomes.
- Existing clinical scoring systems for AP are primarily validated in adults.
- Pediatric AP requires specific validated assessment tools.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the accuracy of established clinical and radiological scoring systems in predicting pediatric AP severity.
- To identify the most reliable scoring method for children with AP.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of data from 48 pediatric AP patients.
- Evaluation of three clinical scores: Ranson, Glasgow modified, and DeBanto.
- Assessment of the Balthazar computed tomography (CT) severity index.
Main Results:
- Clinical scores demonstrated high specificity (~85%) but low sensitivity (~55%) for pediatric AP.
- The Balthazar CT severity index showed superior performance with 80% sensitivity and 86% specificity.
- Area under the curve (AUC) analysis favored the Balthazar CT score (0.898).
Conclusions:
- The Balthazar CT severity index is the most effective tool for predicting AP severity in children.
- Adult-derived clinical scoring systems exhibit limited sensitivity in pediatric AP cases.
- Further validation of radiological scoring is recommended for pediatric AP management.
Abstract:
Severity scores are used to predict the outcome of acute pancreatitis (AP). Several scores are used in adult patients, but none has been thoroughly validated for specific use in paediatric patients. We retrospectively collected data from 48 children with AP (13 severe and 35 mild). The main causes were trauma (23%), idiopathic (23%), lithiasis (12.5%), and virus (10.5%). We evaluated 3 clinical scores (Ranson, Glasgow modified, and DeBanto) and Balthazar computed tomography severity index. The clinical scores had a good specificity (approximately 85%) but a low sensitivity (approximately 55%) in predicting the severity of paediatric AP. The radiological score is better (sensitivity 80%, specificity 86%). The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve was 0.699 (95% CI 0.508%-0.891%, P = 0.054) for the DeBanto score, 0.846 (95% CI 0.69%-1%, P = 0.001) for the Ranson score, and 0.774 (95% CI 0.584%-0.964%, P = 0.008) for the Glasgow and 0.898 (95% CI 0.73%-1%, P = 0.011) for the Balthazar computed tomography severity index score. In our paediatric cohort, the severity of AP was best predicted by Balthazar computed tomography-based scoring scale. Our results confirm previously reported low sensitivity of adult-based clinical scoring scales.
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