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Transformational adaptation when incremental adaptations to climate change are insufficient.
Robert W Kates1, William R Travis, Thomas J Wilbanks
1Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, and Department of Geography, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.
Human-environment systems must adapt to climate change. Transformational adaptation, involving large-scale, novel, or location-shifting changes, is crucial when incremental adjustments are insufficient.
Area of Science:
- Climate change adaptation
- Human-environment systems
- Vulnerability and risk assessment
Background:
- Human-environment systems naturally adapt to climate variability.
- Adaptation to climate change has primarily focused on incremental adjustments.
- Significant vulnerabilities may necessitate transformational adaptation strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To define and categorize transformational adaptations.
- To identify conditions favoring transformational adaptation.
- To explore challenges and enablers for implementing transformational adaptation.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of case studies from Africa, Europe, and North America.
- Identification of conditions triggering transformational adaptation.
- Examination of factors influencing implementation and sustainability.
Main Results:
- Transformational adaptations include larger scale, novel, or location-shifting approaches.
- Large vulnerability and severe climate change necessitate transformational adaptation.
- Implementation faces challenges like uncertainty, cost, and institutional inertia.
Conclusions:
- Transformational adaptation is essential for certain systems facing severe climate change.
- Initiating transformational adaptation requires focusing events, multiple stresses, and local leadership.
- Sustaining transformational adaptation depends on social support and available resources.
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