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Assessment and Evaluation of the High Risk Neonate: The NICU Network Neurobehavioral Scale
Published on: August 25, 2014
Perinatal risk-indicators for long-term respiratory morbidity among preterm or very low birth weight neonates
Margreet J Teune1, Aleid G van Wassenaer, Stef van Buuren
1Department of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, Academic Medical Center, The Netherlands. m.j.teune@amc.uva.nl
Insights
Respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) does not predict long-term respiratory issues in premature infants. Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) and other perinatal factors are more significant indicators of future respiratory morbidity.
Area of Science:
- Neonatal Medicine
- Pediatric Pulmonology
- Perinatal Epidemiology
Background:
- Premature infants face increased risks of long-term respiratory morbidity.
- Identifying reliable predictors of respiratory outcomes is crucial for early intervention.
- Respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) has been considered a potential indicator, but its long-term predictive value requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop prediction models for respiratory morbidity at 2, 5, and 19 years of age in a cohort of very preterm infants.
- To evaluate whether RDS is a risk indicator for long-term respiratory morbidity.
- To identify other perinatal risk factors associated with long-term respiratory morbidity.
Main Methods:
- Prospective follow-up of 1338 infants born before 32 weeks gestation or with birth weight < 1500g in the Dutch POPS cohort.
- Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to construct prediction models.
- Assessment of respiratory morbidity at 2, 5, and 19 years of age.
Main Results:
- At 2 years, maternal smoking, prolonged rupture of membranes, pre-eclampsia, male gender, and bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) were associated with respiratory morbidity.
- At 5 years, prolonged rupture of membranes, family history of asthma, and BPD were significant predictors.
- At 19 years, only higher social class was associated with decreased respiratory morbidity. RDS was not a significant predictor at any time point.
- Prediction models for 2 and 5 years showed good calibration; the 19-year model calibration was less optimal.
Conclusions:
- RDS is not a reliable risk indicator for long-term respiratory morbidity at 2, 5, or 19 years.
- Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) is a more significant predictor of long-term respiratory morbidity than RDS.
- Future studies on perinatal interventions should consider BPD as a primary outcome instead of RDS.
Objectives:
To develop prediction models for long-term respiratory morbidity. To explore if respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) is a risk-indicator for long-term respiratory morbidity and to identify other perinatal risk-indicators for long-term respiratory morbidity.
Study Design:
In the Dutch POPS cohort 1338 live born infants delivered in The Netherlands in 1983, either before 32 completed weeks gestation and/or with a birth weight below 1500 g, were followed prospectively. We used multivariable logistic regression analyses to construct three prediction models for respiratory morbidity at 2, 5 and 19 years of age.
Results:
At 2 years of age, maternal smoking (adjusted OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.0-2.4), prolonged rupture of membranes (adjusted OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.3-4.1), pre-eclampsia (adjusted OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.1-4.1), male gender (adjusted OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1-2.0) and BPD (adjusted OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.1-3.2) were significantly associated with respiratory morbidity. Prolonged rupture of membranes (adjusted OR 3.7, 95% CI 1.6-8.5), family history of asthma (adjusted OR 5.9, 95% CI 2.7-13.0) and BPD (adjusted OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-3.0) were significantly associated with respiratory morbidity at 5 years of age. At 19 years of age only higher social class was associated with decreased respiratory morbidity (adjusted OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.41-0.99). The areas under the curves (AUC) were 0.65, 0.71 and 0.61 respectively. The prediction models for respiratory morbidity at 2 and 5 years of age showed a good calibration, while the calibration plot for respiratory morbidity at 19 year was less optimal.
Conclusions:
RDS is not a risk-indicator for long-term respiratory morbidity at 2, 5 and 19 years in this cohort (OR 1.2, 95% 0.88-1.7; 1.3, 95% 0.88-2.0; OR 0.91, 95% 0.56-1.5 respectively). Future obstetric studies interested in the effect of a specific perinatal intervention on long-term respiratory morbidity, should consider taking bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) as primary outcome instead of RDS.
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