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Updated: May 21, 2026

Measurement of the Hepatic Venous Pressure Gradient and Transjugular Liver Biopsy
Published on: June 18, 2020
Prognostic indicators of survival in patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis
Alexander Zipprich1, Guadalupe Garcia-Tsao, Sebastian Rogowski
1Department of Internal Medicine I, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle, Germany. alexander.zipprich@medizin.uni-halle.de
Insights
Survival and death predictors differ between compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) is prognostic in compensated stages, while MELD score predicts mortality in decompensated stages.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Clinical Medicine
- Internal Medicine
Background:
- Cirrhosis staging categorizes patients into compensated and decompensated stages.
- Portal hypertension drives complications, marking the transition between cirrhosis stages.
- Understanding survival and prognostic factors is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze survival rates across different cirrhosis stages and substages.
- To evaluate the prognostic value of hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) in each cirrhosis stage.
- To identify independent predictors of mortality in compensated and decompensated cirrhosis.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 729 patients with suspected cirrhosis underwent portal pressure and hemodynamic measurements.
- Data collection for mortality occurred over a decade, with follow-up until November 2006.
- Multivariable analysis identified predictors of death using two distinct models for each stage.
Main Results:
- The study included 443 patients, with 1-year mortality of 5.4% (compensated) and 20.2% (decompensated).
- Compensated patients without varices (stage 1) had better survival than those with varices (stage 2).
- Age and HVPG (≥10 mmHg) predicted death in compensated cirrhosis; MELD score predicted death in decompensated cirrhosis.
Conclusions:
- Survival and mortality predictors vary significantly between compensated and decompensated cirrhosis.
- Ascites is a more effective clinical stratifier than variceal hemorrhage for decompensated cirrhosis.
- Clinically significant portal hypertension, indicated by HVPG, holds prognostic value in compensated cirrhosis.
Background/Aims:
Patients with cirrhosis are classified in a compensated and a decompensated stage. Portal hypertension is responsible for most of the complications of cirrhosis that mark the transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis. The objectives of this study were (a) to analyse survival of the different stages and substages of cirrhosis and (b) to examine the prognostic value of the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) at each of the stages.
Methods:
A total of 729 patients with suspected cirrhosis underwent routine measurement of portal pressure and systemic haemodynamics between 11/1995 and 12/2004. The primary end-point of the study was death, collected until November 30th, 2006. Multivariable analysis was performed using two models to determine predictors of death at each stage.
Results:
A total of 443 patients were included in the study. The 1-year mortality was 5.4% in compensated and 20.2% in decompensated patients. Compensated patients in stage 1 (no varices) had a longer survival than stage 2 patients (varices present) (P = 0.015). In decompensated patients, survival was not different between stage 3 (ascites, with or without varices) and stage 4 (variceal haemorrhage, with or without ascites). Age and HVPG (cut-off 10 mmHg) were independent predictors of death in compensated patients, whereas MELD was in decompensated patients.
Conclusion:
Survival rates and predictors of death are different between patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Unlike the Italian cohort staging system, ascites is a better stratifying clinical event than variceal haemorrhage in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. The presence of clinically significant portal hypertension has prognostic value in compensated cirrhosis.
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