Application of log-linear model in inference on karyotypic evolution in chronic myelocytic leukemia

Relationships among additional chromosome abnormalities in chronic myelocytic leukemia (CML) with translocation 9;22 [Philadelphia chromosome (Ph1)-positive CML] were analyzed by log-linear models on 709 karyotypes reported in the literature. Additional abnormalities, such as the gain of chromosome 8 (+8), gain of Philadelphia chromosome (+Ph1), isochromosome of the long arm (q) of chromosome 17 [i(17q)], and the gain of chromosome 19 (+19), were frequently observed. A four-way 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 contingency table was considered with respect to the appearance of these four abnormalities, then the hierarchical log-linear models having at least four main effects were fitted to the observed contingency table. Akaike's information criteria of the models reflected the fitness of the model very well. Parameter estimates of the interaction terms indicated that the combinations of two abnormalities, '+8 and +19', '+Ph1 and +19', and '+8 and i(17q)' were positively associated, while '+Ph1 and i(17q)', and '+19 and i(17q)' were negatively associated. Based on the results of the data analysis, an inference was made on the route of karyotypic evolution in Ph1-positive CML; it statistically supports the hypothesis presented by Heim and Mitelman.