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Treatment failure among Kenyan children with severe pneumonia--a cohort study
Clare Webb1, Mwanajuma Ngama, Anthony Ngatia
1Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI), Centre for Geographic Medicine Research, Kilifi, Kenya.
Insights
Childhood pneumonia treatment failure is a concern in Africa. While uncomplicated cases show good outcomes, severe cases with complications like HIV or malnutrition have higher failure and mortality rates.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases
- Global Health
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Pneumonia is a leading cause of death in children globally.
- The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends presumptive treatment for pneumonia based on clinical signs.
- Concerns exist regarding high rates of treatment failure in African settings.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the frequency and predictors of treatment failure in children with severe or very severe pneumonia in Kenya.
- To assess outcomes for children treated according to WHO guidelines.
Main Methods:
- Prospective data collection from children aged 2-59 months with severe/very severe pneumonia admitted to Kilifi District Hospital, Kenya.
- Treatment administered following WHO guidelines.
- Primary outcome: treatment failure at 48 hours.
Main Results:
- Overall, 20% of children failed treatment at 48 hours, with a 6.0% mortality rate.
- Children with severe pneumonia without HIV or severe malnutrition had a 12% failure rate at 48 hours.
- Children with severe pneumonia complicated by HIV/malnutrition or very severe pneumonia had a 32% failure rate at 48 hours and a 16% mortality rate.
- Factors associated with treatment failure included shock, bacteremia, very severe pneumonia, low oxygen saturation, severe malnutrition, HIV, and age under 1 year.
Conclusions:
- Uncomplicated severe pneumonia has low treatment failure and mortality rates under current WHO guidelines in this setting.
- Most deaths occurred early, suggesting potential for reduction through improved prevention, prehospital care, and sepsis management.
- Children with severe pneumonia and complications (HIV, malnutrition) or very severe pneumonia face significantly higher risks.
Background:
Pneumonia is the leading cause of childhood mortality worldwide. The World Health Organization recommends presumptive treatment based on clinical syndromes. Recent studies raise concerns over the frequency of treatment failure in Africa.
Methods:
We applied a definition of treatment failure to data prospectively collected from children who were 2-59 months of age with severe, or very severe, pneumonia admitted to Kilifi District Hospital, Kenya, from May 2007 through May 2008 and treated using World Health Organization guidelines. The primary outcome was treatment failure at 48 hours.
Results:
Of 568 children, median age 11 months, 165 (29%) had very severe pneumonia, 30 (5.3%) a positive HIV test and 62 (11%) severe malnutrition. One hundred eleven (20%; 95% confidence interval: 17-23%) children failed treatment at 48 hours and 34 (6.0%) died; 22 (65%) deaths occurred before 48 hours. Of 353 children with severe pneumonia, without HIV or severe malnutrition, 42 (12%) failed to respond at 48 hours, 15 (4.3%) failed at 5 days and 1 child (0.3%) died. Among 215 children with either severe pneumonia complicated by HIV or severe malnutrition, or very severe pneumonia, 69 (32%) failed to treatment at 48 hours, 47 (22%) failed at 5 days and 33 (16%) died. Treatment failure at 48 hours was associated with shock, bacteremia, very severe pneumonia, oxygen saturation in hemoglobin <95%, severe malnutrition, HIV and age <1 year in multivariable models.
Conclusions:
In this setting, few children with uncomplicated severe pneumonia fail treatment or die under current guidelines. Deaths mainly occurred early and may be reduced by improving prevention, prehospital care and treatment of sepsis.
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