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Behavioural case linkage with solved and unsolved crimes.

Matthew Tonkin1, Jessica Woodhams, Ray Bull

  • 1School of Psychology, The University of Leicester, Room 352, Maurice Shock Building, University Road, Leicester LE1 9HN, United Kingdom. mjt25@le.ac.uk

Forensic Science International
|June 19, 2012
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Behavioral case linkage, using intercrime distance and temporal proximity, effectively distinguishes linked from unlinked crimes. This method aids investigations of prolific offenders, even with unsolved cases.

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Area of Science:

  • Criminology
  • Forensic Psychology
  • Criminal Justice

Background:

  • Behavioral case linkage aids investigations by linking crimes committed by the same offender.
  • Previous research primarily used solved crime samples, limiting real-world applicability.
  • Investigative organizations increasingly use behavioral analysis for crime linkage.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To test the effectiveness of behavioral case linkage in a mixed sample of solved and unsolved crimes.
  • To examine discrimination accuracy across different crime categories, types, and within crime types.
  • To assess the utility of intercrime distance and temporal proximity in distinguishing linked from unlinked offenses.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a sample of both solved and unsolved crimes.
  • Analyzed discrimination accuracy using intercrime distance (kilometers) and temporal proximity (days).
  • Employed Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis to measure accuracy across various crime groupings.

Main Results:

  • Intercrime distance and temporal proximity achieved statistically significant discrimination accuracy.
  • Accuracy was demonstrated across crime categories, crime types, and within crime types.
  • The findings were robust across different analytical groupings of crime pairs.

Conclusions:

  • Behavioral case linkage, incorporating spatial and temporal factors, is a viable tool for investigations.
  • This approach can assist in identifying and prosecuting prolific and versatile serial offenders.
  • The method's effectiveness in mixed samples supports its real-world application in criminal investigations.