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Published on: August 12, 2016
A change in paradigm: lowering blood pressure in everyone over a certain age
1Centre for Environmental and Preventive Medicine, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Barts and The London, Queen Mary's School of Medicine and Dentistry, Charterhouse Square, London EC1M 6BQ, UK. m.r.law@qmul.ac.uk
Insights
The link between blood pressure and cardiovascular disease risk is continuous, not a simple division. Blood pressure-lowering treatments benefit individuals proportionally to their existing risk, regardless of whether they are hypertensive or normotensive.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Public Health
- Clinical Pharmacology
Background:
- Traditional classification of individuals into 'hypertensives' and 'normotensives' is clinically problematic.
- The relationship between blood pressure and cardiovascular disease risk is continuous across the population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the continuous relationship between blood pressure and cardiovascular disease risk.
- To assess the efficacy of blood pressure-lowering drugs across different blood pressure ranges.
- To inform treatment decisions based on absolute cardiovascular risk.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the Prospective Studies Collaboration data for dose-response relationships.
- Meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials on blood pressure-lowering medications.
- Examination of risk reduction in normotensive individuals.
Main Results:
- A continuous, linear dose-response relationship exists between blood pressure and cardiovascular disease risk down to 115/75 mmHg.
- Blood pressure-lowering drugs provide similar proportional risk reduction for coronary heart disease and stroke across various pre-treatment levels (down to 110/70 mmHg).
- Statistically significant risk reduction is observed in normotensive individuals without prior vascular disease.
Conclusions:
- Treatment decisions for blood pressure should be based on an individual's overall absolute cardiovascular risk, not solely on diagnostic categories.
- The proportional benefit of blood pressure lowering is consistent across the blood pressure spectrum.
- In primary prevention, using age as a proxy for risk may be simpler than absolute risk assessment, but absolute risk is more accurate.
Abstract:
Dividing people into 'hypertensives' and 'normotensives' is commonplace but problematic. The relationship between blood pressure and cardiovascular disease is continuous. The Prospective Studies Collaboration analysis shows a continuous straight line dose-response relationship across the entire population down to blood pressure levels of 115 mmHg systolic and 75 mmHg diastolic, the confidence limits on the individual data points being sufficiently narrow to exclude even a minor deviation from a linear relationship. Meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials shows that blood pressure-lowering drugs produce similar proportional reductions in risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke irrespective of pre-treatment blood pressure, down to levels of 110 mmHg systolic and 70 mmHg diastolic. There are also now sufficient trial data to show a statistically significant risk reduction in 'normotensive' people without known vascular disease on entry. The straight line (log-linear) relationship means that the benefit derived from lowering blood pressure is proportional to existing risk, so the decision on whom to treat with blood pressure-lowering drugs should depend on a person's overall absolute risk irrespective of blood pressure. In primary prevention, basing treatment on age alone rather than overall absolute risk entails little loss of efficacy and may be preferred on the basis of simplicity and avoidance of anxiety in telling people they are at elevated risk.
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