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[The study of cholelithiasis prevalence based on prognostic investigation of hepatobiliary diseases]
Aim:
To study trends in hepatobiliary diseases (HBD) and prognosis of cholelithiasis morbidity for the nearest future.
Material And Methods:
We studied biochemical bile properties in 404 patients with different hepatobiliary diseases and analysed statistics on hepatobiliary morbidity in Udmurt Republic for 2005-2009 using the method of statistical forecasting (trend modeling).
Results:
The Udmurt Republic has stable statistics on digestive organs morbidity. However, now there is a trend for a rise in overall and primary hepatobiliary morbidity. All the examinees with HBD had the first stage of cholelithiasis (lithogenic bile, biliary sludge).
Conclusion:
By trend prognostication of hepatobiliary morbidity, the near future will present an increased number of patients with stage 1 (prestone) cholelithiasis.
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