Dose-response effects for disease management programs on hospital utilization in Illinois Medicaid

The objective of this study is to estimate a dose-response impact of disease management contacts on inpatient admissions. Multivariate regression analysis of panel data was used to test the hypothesis that increased disease management contacts lower the odds of an inpatient admission. Subjects were 40,452 members of Illinois' noninstitutionalized Medicaid-only aged, blind, or disabled population diagnosed with asthma, coronary artery disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, and/or heart failure. All members are also in the state's Illinois Health Connect program, a medical home strategy in place for most of the 2.4 million Illinois Medicaid beneficiaries. The statistical measure is the odds ratio, which is a measure of association between the monthly inpatient admission indicator and the number of contacts (doses) a member has had for each particular disease management intervention. Statistically significant contacts are between 8 and 12 for heart failure, between 4 and 12 contacts for diabetes, and between 8 and 13 contacts for asthma. Total inpatient savings during the study period is estimated to be $12.4 million. This study shows the dose-response pattern of inpatient utilization improvements through the number of disease management contacts.