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Migration systems in Europe: evidence from harmonized flow data.

Jack Dewaard1, Keuntae Kim, James Raymer

  • 1Department of Sociology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA. jdewaard@ssc.wisc.edu

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This study harmonized international migration data for the European Union and Norway (2003-2007) to test migration systems theory. Findings reveal three distinct migration systems influenced by nation-state formation, geography, and EU accession status.

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Area of Science:

  • Sociology
  • Economics
  • Political Science

Background:

  • Empirical testing of migration systems theory necessitates consistent international migration flow data.
  • Existing public data sources are inconsistent and incomplete due to varied national data collection systems.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To standardize and estimate international migration flows for the European Union and Norway between 2003 and 2007.
  • To empirically test the predictions of migration systems theory using harmonized data.
  • To identify distinct migration systems and their key determinants within the specified region and timeframe.

Main Methods:

  • Standardization of available migration reports from sending and receiving countries.
  • Estimation of missing international migration flow data.
  • Identification of migration system thresholds based on flow sizes over time.
  • Analysis of flow determinants against migration systems theory predictions.

Main Results:

  • Identification of three distinct migration systems within the European Union and Norway.
  • Confirmation of the influence of shared nation-state formation experiences, geography, and European Union accession status on migration flows.
  • Demonstration of support for migration systems theory.

Conclusions:

  • Harmonized migration data significantly enhances the empirical testing of migration systems theory.
  • Understanding migration systems is crucial for improving migration forecasts and managing social change in Europe.
  • Factors such as shared history, proximity, and political integration (EU accession) are key drivers of European migration patterns.