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Weighting composite endpoints in clinical trials: essential evidence for the heart team
Betty C Tong1, Joel C Huber, Deborah D Ascheim
1Division of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina 27710, USA. betty.tong@duke.edu
Insights
Patients value different outcomes in coronary revascularization trials differently. Risk of death, stroke, and longevity are prioritized over repeat procedures, suggesting a need for weighted composite endpoints in trial analysis.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Clinical Trial Design
- Health Economics
Background:
- Coronary revascularization trials commonly use composite endpoints for major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE).
- Current analysis methods assign equal importance to all MACCE elements, potentially introducing bias.
- Patient perspectives on the relative importance of MACCE components are not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the relative importance of individual Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) elements from a patient's viewpoint.
- To assess the impact of patient-weighted endpoints on the interpretation of coronary revascularization trial results.
- To investigate patient bias related to procedural labeling in revascularization decisions.
Main Methods:
- A discrete choice experiment was conducted with 224 survey respondents.
- Respondents evaluated hypothetical scenarios based on the Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery (SYNTAX) trial criteria.
- Conjoint analysis was used to derive relative weights for MACCE, longevity, and recovery time.
Main Results:
- Patient-weighted importance: death (0.23), stroke (0.18), longevity/recovery (0.17), myocardial infarction (0.14), repeat revascularization (0.11).
- Weighted analysis showed a decreased, but persistent, MACCE advantage for coronary artery bypass graft surgery over percutaneous coronary intervention.
- Procedural labels significantly influenced patient choice (87% preferred bypass surgery when unlabeled, 73% when labeled).
Conclusions:
- Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) elements hold unequal weight for patients.
- Incorporating patient-derived weights enhances the validity of composite endpoints in clinical trials.
- Labeling of procedures introduces bias, affecting patient decision-making in coronary revascularization.
Background:
Coronary revascularization trials often use a composite endpoint of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). The usual practice in analyzing data with a composite endpoint is to assign equal weights to each of the individual MACCE elements. Noninferiority margins are used to offset effects of presumably less important components, but their magnitudes are subject to bias. This study describes the relative importance of MACCE elements from a patient perspective.
Methods:
A discrete choice experiment was conducted. Survey respondents were presented with a scenario that would make them eligible for the Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery (SYNTAX) trial three-vessel disease cohort. Respondents chose among pairs of procedures that differed on the 3-year probability of MACCE, potential for increased longevity, and procedure/recovery time. Conjoint analysis derived relative weights for these attributes.
Results:
In all, 224 respondents completed the survey. The attributes did not have equal weight. Risk of death was most important (relative weight 0.23), followed by stroke (0.18), potential increased longevity and recovery time (each 0.17), myocardial infarction (0.14), and risk of repeat revascularization (0.11). Applying these weights to the SYNTAX 3-year endpoints resulted in a persistent, but decreased margin of difference in MACCE favoring coronary artery bypass graft surgery compared to percutaneous coronary intervention. When labeled only as "procedure A" and "procedure B," 87% of respondents chose coronary artery bypass graft surgery over percutaneous coronary intervention. When procedures were labeled as "coronary stent" and "coronary bypass surgery," only 73% chose coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Procedural preference varied with demographics, sex, and familiarity with the procedures.
Conclusions:
The MACCE elements do not carry equal weight in a composite endpoint, from a patient perspective. Using a weighted composite endpoint increases the validity of statistical analyses and trial conclusions. Patients are subject to bias by labels when considering coronary revascularization.
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