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Weighting composite endpoints in clinical trials: essential evidence for the heart team

Betty C Tong1, Joel C Huber, Deborah D Ascheim

  • 1Division of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina 27710, USA. betty.tong@duke.edu

Insights

Patients value different outcomes in coronary revascularization trials differently. Risk of death, stroke, and longevity are prioritized over repeat procedures, suggesting a need for weighted composite endpoints in trial analysis.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Medicine
  • Clinical Trial Design
  • Health Economics

Background:

  • Coronary revascularization trials commonly use composite endpoints for major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE).
  • Current analysis methods assign equal importance to all MACCE elements, potentially introducing bias.
  • Patient perspectives on the relative importance of MACCE components are not well-established.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the relative importance of individual Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) elements from a patient's viewpoint.
  • To assess the impact of patient-weighted endpoints on the interpretation of coronary revascularization trial results.
  • To investigate patient bias related to procedural labeling in revascularization decisions.

Main Methods:

  • A discrete choice experiment was conducted with 224 survey respondents.
  • Respondents evaluated hypothetical scenarios based on the Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery (SYNTAX) trial criteria.
  • Conjoint analysis was used to derive relative weights for MACCE, longevity, and recovery time.

Main Results:

  • Patient-weighted importance: death (0.23), stroke (0.18), longevity/recovery (0.17), myocardial infarction (0.14), repeat revascularization (0.11).
  • Weighted analysis showed a decreased, but persistent, MACCE advantage for coronary artery bypass graft surgery over percutaneous coronary intervention.
  • Procedural labels significantly influenced patient choice (87% preferred bypass surgery when unlabeled, 73% when labeled).

Conclusions:

  • Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) elements hold unequal weight for patients.
  • Incorporating patient-derived weights enhances the validity of composite endpoints in clinical trials.
  • Labeling of procedures introduces bias, affecting patient decision-making in coronary revascularization.
Abstract

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