No increased mortality with early aortic aneurysm disease

Matthew Mell1, Julie J White, Bradley B Hill

  • 1Department of Surgery, Stanford University, Stanford, Calif, USA. mwmell@stanford.edu

Insights

Contemporary mortality for patients with early abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is lower than previously thought. Larger aneurysm size and diabetes are key risk factors for death in early AAA disease.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Medicine
  • Vascular Surgery
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Previous studies indicated excessive all-cause mortality in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) patients, comparable to coronary heart disease.
  • These earlier findings predated modern risk factor management for coronary heart disease.
  • Contemporary mortality rates for early AAA disease (3-5 cm diameter) have not been recently evaluated.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the current mortality risk in patients diagnosed with early-stage abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA).
  • To identify predictors of mortality in contemporary AAA patient cohorts.

Main Methods:

  • 634 patients with AAA were recruited from three Northern California healthcare systems (2006-2011).
  • Data collected included aneurysm diameter, demographics, comorbidities, and medication history.
  • Survival status was tracked, and Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to analyze mortality predictors.

Main Results:

  • The study included 634 AAA patients with a mean age of 76.4 years and aortic diameter of 3.86 cm.
  • Estimated 1- and 3-year survival rates were 98.2% and 90.9%, respectively.
  • Increased mortality risk was associated with larger aneurysm size (>4.0 cm) and diabetes. Healthcare system also independently predicted mortality.

Conclusions:

  • Current all-cause mortality for individuals with early abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is lower than previously reported.
  • Further investigation is needed to understand the factors contributing to improved survival rates in early AAA.
Abstract

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