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Development of an interactive model for planning the care workforce for Alberta: case study.
Judy Bloom1, Stephen Duckett, Andrea Robertson
1President and Chief Executive Officer, Alberta Health Services currently Professor, School of Public Health, University of Alberta and La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia. sduckett@ualberta.ca.
Human Resources for Health
|August 22, 2012
Summary
Alberta Health Services developed a health workforce forecasting model to address supply and demand challenges for Registered Nurses, Licensed Practical Nurses, and health care aides. The model evaluates policy impacts on workforce parameters.
Area of Science:
- Health workforce planning
- Healthcare management
- Health economics
Background:
- Alberta faces significant challenges in balancing health worker supply and demand.
- Alberta Health Services, as the province-wide provider, requires robust forecasting tools.
- Initial focus is on modeling Registered Nurses, Licensed Practical Nurses, and health care aides.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a health workforce forecasting model for Alberta.
- To inform strategic decisions on key workforce parameters.
- To highlight the impact of different assumptions and policy choices.
Main Methods:
- Development of a workforce planning model.
- Testing various assumptions (e.g., vacancy rates, retirement).
- Evaluating different policy choices (e.g., educational intake, workforce composition).
- Utilizing the model in a consultation process to develop six policy scenarios.
Main Results:
- Model outputs identified issues with current workforce strategies.
- Demonstrated the significant impact of key policy choices on workforce parameters.
- Highlighted the need for adaptable planning tools.
Conclusions:
- Effective workforce planning requires models with transparent assumptions.
- Models must allow for sensitivity analysis of assumptions.
- The impact of policy choices on workforce parameters needs to be assessable.
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