Risk factors and outcomes of new-onset diabetes after transplant: single-centre experience

We sought to study the prevalence, risk factors, and long-term prognosis of posttransplant diabetes mellitus.

We studied all patients with end-stage renal disease without diabetic nephropathy who received a kidney transplant and were followed-up at our center since 1983 (n=218; age, 44.3 ± 13.1 y). Patients with new-onset diabetes after transplant were compared to kidney transplant recipients without risk factors for diabetes mellitus. Patients with new-onset diabetes after transplant were divided into subgroups according to time of onset (early; < 90 d vs late, ≥ 90 d).

In total, 73/218 patients (33%) developed new-onset diabetes after transplant. Patients with new-onset diabetes after transplant were significantly older (51.2 ± 11.4 vs 40.7 ± 12.5 y; P < .001) and had a tendency to have a higher body mass index (29.6 ± 8.7 vs 21.6 ± 7.8 kg/m2; P =.05) than those that did not have new-onset diabetes after transplant. In multivariate analysis, age (P < .001), hepatitis C virus infection (P < .05), family history of diabetes mellitus (P < .03), and tacrolimus use (P < .001) were independent risk factors. Five- and 10-year death censored patient survival rates were worse in those that had new-onset diabetes after transplant compared with controls (log rank, 0.04), whereas there was no difference in outcomes between the early and late subgroups.

The prevalence of new-onset diabetes after transplant was 33%. Age, body weight at time of transplant, tacrolimus use, family history of diabetes mellitus, and hepatitis C virus infection are independent risk factors for new-onset diabetes after transplant. New-onset diabetes after transplant has a negative effect on patient survival, irrespective of the time of onset and duration of diabetes.