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Utility of Framingham Coronary Heart Disease Risk Score for predicting cardiac risk after stroke
Amytis Towfighi1, Daniela Markovic, Bruce Ovbiagele
1Department of Neurology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA. towfighi@usc.edu
Insights
The Framingham Coronary Heart Disease Risk Score (FCRS) effectively identifies stroke patients at high risk for myocardial infarction (MI) and vascular death. This score aids in stratifying stroke patients for targeted coronary heart disease management.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Neurology
- Public Health
Background:
- Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a leading cause of mortality post-stroke.
- Effective risk stratification is needed for stroke patients without known CHD.
- Identifying high-risk individuals can guide CHD-specific management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the Framingham Coronary Heart Disease Risk Score (FCRS) as a prognostic tool.
- To assess FCRS utility in predicting cardiac events in stroke patients without prior CHD.
- To determine if FCRS can identify stroke patients benefiting from enhanced CHD care.
Main Methods:
- Post hoc analysis of 3509 ischemic stroke patients (≥35 years) from a 2-year trial.
- Categorization based on known CHD, high FCRS (≥20%), and low/intermediate FCRS (<20%).
- Multivariate analysis of FCRS predicting myocardial infarction (MI), vascular death, and recurrent stroke.
Main Results:
- High FCRS (≥20%) significantly predicted higher risk of MI (aHR 3.70) and MI or vascular death (aHR 2.21) compared to low/intermediate FCRS.
- MI rates at 2 years were 6.34% (known CHD), 4.65% (high FCRS), and 1.44% (low/intermediate FCRS).
- High FCRS did not predict recurrent stroke outcomes.
Conclusions:
- In stroke patients without known CHD, elevated FCRS identifies individuals at increased risk of MI and vascular death.
- FCRS serves as a simple, valuable tool for identifying stroke survivors who may benefit from intensified CHD management.
- The score's utility lies in proactive cardiac risk management following ischemic stroke.
Background And Purpose:
Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a major cause of mortality among stroke patients after the acute period. Simple risk stratification of stroke patients without known CHD may permit prompt implementation of CHD-specific management strategies for those who are at high risk for cardiac events. We assessed the utility of the Framingham Coronary Heart Disease Risk Score (FCRS) as a prognosticator in stroke patients without known CHD.
Methods:
Post hoc analysis of a trial dataset of 3509 recent ischemic stroke patients who were aged 35 years or older, recruited from 56 centers, and followed-up for 2 years. Patients were categorized as having known CHD, high FCRS (≥20%), and low/intermediate FCRS (<20%). The predictive values between baseline FCRS and primary (myocardial infarction [MI]), secondary (MI or vascular death), and tertiary (recurrent stroke) outcomes were assessed in multivariate analyses.
Results:
Rates of first MI at 2 years were 6.34%, 4.65%, and 1.44% for the known CHD, high FCRS, and low/intermediate FCRS groups. Compared with stroke patients with low/intermediate FCRS, individuals with high FCRS had a higher risk of MI (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.70; 95% confidence interval, 2.14-6.38) and MI or vascular death (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.21; 95% confidence interval, 1.48-3.28). High FCRS did not predict recurrent stroke.
Conclusions:
Among patients with a recent ischemic stroke without known CHD, high FCRS was associated with a higher risk of MI and vascular death, but not stroke. FCRS could be a simple way to identify recent stroke patients who may benefit from additional CHD-specific management.
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