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The Collective Trust Game: An Online Group Adaptation of the Trust Game Based on the HoneyComb Paradigm
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Published on: October 20, 2022

Who loses in direct democracy?

Ryan T Moore1, Nirmala Ravishankar

  • 1Department of Political Science, Washington University in St. Louis, 241 Seigle Hall, Campus Box 1063, One Brookings Drive, St. Louis, MO 63130, United States.

Social Science Research
|September 29, 2012
PubMed
Summary

Minority voters in California, including Black, Latino, and Asian citizens, experience a disadvantage in ballot proposition elections, losing more often than white voters across diverse issues. Race, not class, is a key factor determining electoral success for these groups.

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Area of Science:

  • Political Science
  • Sociology
  • Public Policy

Background:

  • Ballot propositions are a key feature of direct democracy in California.
  • Understanding voting patterns and outcomes across different demographic groups is crucial for assessing democratic fairness.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the success rates of Black, Latino, and Asian voters compared to white voters in California ballot proposition elections.
  • To determine if racial disparities in voting outcomes extend beyond racially-targeted propositions and identify key issue areas where these disparities occur.

Main Methods:

  • Statistical analysis of voting data from California ballot proposition elections.
  • Comparative analysis of win/loss rates between minority (Black, Latino, Asian) and white voters.
  • Regression analysis to control for socioeconomic factors and isolate the impact of race.

Main Results:

  • Minority voters are 2-5 percentage points less likely than white voters to prevail in ballot proposition elections.
  • This disadvantage is observed across a wide range of issues, not just those explicitly targeting race.
  • Disparities are evident in elections, environmental, health, housing, tax, and transportation propositions.

Conclusions:

  • Race is a more significant predictor of losing ballot propositions than socioeconomic class in California.
  • Minority voters face systemic disadvantages in direct democracy elections, irrespective of the proposition's specific focus.
  • Findings highlight persistent inequalities in the electoral success of diverse voter groups.