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Likelihood ratios, sensitivity, and specificity values can be back-calculated when the odds ratios are known
David L Simel1, Joshua Easter, George Tomlinson
1Department of Medicine, Durham Veterans Affairs Medical Center and Duke University, Durham, NC 27705, USA. david.simel@duke.edu
A new method allows researchers to calculate diagnostic test accuracy metrics like sensitivity and specificity from odds ratios (ORs). This approach, using a simple spreadsheet, helps include more studies in meta-analyses.
Area of Science:
- Medical Informatics
- Biostatistics
- Diagnostic Test Evaluation
Background:
- Systematic reviews and meta-analyses are crucial for synthesizing evidence from diagnostic test studies.
- A common limitation is the heterogeneity of reported results, particularly the absence of 2x2 contingency table data.
- Odds Ratios (ORs) are frequently reported, but direct calculation of sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios (LRs) from ORs alone is not straightforward.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a method for calculating true-positive, false-positive, false-negative, and true-negative results from studies reporting only Odds Ratios (ORs).
- To enable the derivation of sensitivity, specificity, and Likelihood Ratios (LRs) when only ORs and patient counts are available.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a quadratic formula to back-calculate diagnostic accuracy metrics from the OR.
- Developed a spreadsheet tool requiring only the OR and 2x2 table row/column totals for calculating individual contingency table values.
- Addressed special cases including OR=1 and non-estimable ORs due to zero counts.
Main Results:
- The quadratic formula successfully allows for the back-calculation of sensitivity, specificity, and LRs from the OR.
- The spreadsheet tool enables the derivation of true positives, false positives, false negatives, and true negatives.
- Solutions were provided for scenarios with OR=1 and when ORs were non-estimable.
Conclusions:
- A user-friendly spreadsheet tool facilitates the inclusion of studies reporting only ORs in systematic reviews of diagnostic tests.
- This method enhances the pool of studies available for meta-analyses aiming to summarize sensitivity, specificity, or LRs.
- The approach supports more comprehensive evidence synthesis in diagnostic test research.
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