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Updated: May 17, 2026

Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighting (Propensity Score) using the Military Health System Data Repository and National Death Index
Published on: January 8, 2020
Moving a randomized clinical trial into an observational cohort
Phyllis J Goodman1, Jo Ann Hartline, Catherine M Tangen
1SWOG Statistical Center, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA 98109, USA. pgoodman@fhcrc.org
The Selenium and Vitamin E Cancer Prevention Trial (SELECT) found no efficacy for supplements in preventing prostate cancer. Extended follow-up of participants in the Centralized Follow-Up (CFU) study continues to gather important long-term data.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Preventive Medicine
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- The Selenium and Vitamin E Cancer Prevention Trial (SELECT) was a large-scale, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study investigating prostate cancer prevention.
- Supplements (Vitamin E, Selenium) were discontinued due to lack of efficacy and futility analyses.
- The study transitioned to a Centralized Follow-Up (CFU) observational study to gather long-term data from the participant cohort.
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe the transition process from a randomized clinical trial to an observational Centralized Follow-Up (CFU) study.
- To outline the necessary changes at local study sites and the statistical center for central coordination.
- To maintain and follow the participant cohort for long-term biologic consequences of interventions.
Main Methods:
- Transition involved updating online documents, amending the protocol, reorganizing the statistical center, and revising data collection procedures.
- Procedures were developed for closing study sites and contacting participants for the CFU study.
- Participants were followed centrally via annual questionnaires and a web-based option.
Main Results:
- 17,761 participants were registered to the CFU study, fewer than anticipated due to IRB difficulties.
- An estimated 580 prostate cancer cases and 215 high-grade cancers are expected to be identified from this cohort.
- Over 109,000 mailings were sent to participants, and 12 biorepository proposals were approved.
Conclusions:
- The accrual goal for the CFU study was not met, limiting statistical power.
- Extended follow-up is crucial for understanding long-term intervention effects in prevention research.
- The CFU study provides a valuable, well-characterized cohort for collecting additional cancer endpoints and enhancing the utility of the SELECT biorepository.
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