Autologous stem cell transplantation for multiple myeloma: identification of prognostic factors

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of prognostic factors on the outcome of patients with MM after ASCT.

We analyzed results of 170 consecutive patients (121 male and 49 female) of MM who underwent ASCT. Patients' median age was 52 years (range, 26-68 years). High dose melphalan (200 mg/m(2)) was used for conditioning. One hundred thirty-two patients (77.6%) had evidence of chemosensitive disease before transplant. Response was assessed using European Group for Blood and Bone Marrow Transplantation criteria.

Post ASCT 44.7% of patients achieved CR, 24.7% had very good partial response (VGPR), and 21.2% had partial response (PR). Presence of pretransplant chemosensitive disease (CR, VGPR, and PR) and transplant within 12 months of diagnosis for years before 2006 were associated with higher response rates on multivariate analysis. At a median follow-up of 84 months, median overall (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) is 85.5 and 41 months, respectively. Estimated OS and EFS at 60 months is 62 ± 0.04% and 41 ± 0.04%, respectively. Patients who responded to transplant (CR, VGPR, and PR) had a longer OS (P < .001) and EFS (P < .001). Additionally, patients who achieved CR post transplant had a longer OS (P < .001) and EFS (P < .001). Patients who received novel agents for induction pretransplant had a longer OS (P < .001) and EFS (P < .002).

Outcome after ASCT is better for myeloma patients with pretransplant chemosensitive disease and those who achieve CR after transplant.