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Performance analysis of complex repairable industrial systems using PSO and fuzzy confidence interval based
1Department of Mathematics, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand, India. harishg58iitr@gmail.com
This study introduces a new method for analyzing complex industrial systems, optimizing design parameters like mean time between failures (MTBF) and mean time to repair (MTTR) under uncertainty. The approach improves system efficiency and reliability using fuzzy logic.
Area of Science:
- Industrial Engineering
- Reliability Engineering
- Operations Research
Background:
- Optimizing complex repairable industrial systems is challenging due to uncertain data and resource limitations.
- Determining optimal design policies for Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF) and Mean Time To Repair (MTTR) is crucial for system efficiency.
- Existing methods struggle to effectively handle data uncertainties in reliability analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel methodology for analyzing the behavior of complex repairable industrial systems.
- To develop an availability-cost optimization model for determining optimal design parameters.
- To address uncertainties in component data using fuzzy and statistical methods.
Main Methods:
- An availability-cost optimization model was constructed to determine optimal design parameters.
- Triangular fuzzy numbers were used to estimate uncertainties in component data.
- The Confidence Interval based Fuzzy Lambda-Tau (CIBFLT) methodology was proposed to compute reliability parameters as fuzzy membership functions.
Main Results:
- The CIBFLT methodology effectively computes reliability parameters under data uncertainty.
- A comparison with the existing fuzzy Lambda-Tau methodology demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
- Sensitivity analysis on system MTBF was performed, providing insights into parameter influence.
Conclusions:
- The proposed CIBFLT methodology offers an improved approach for the reliability analysis of complex industrial systems.
- The methodology successfully integrates fuzzy logic and statistical methods to handle data uncertainties.
- The study provides a practical framework for optimizing system design parameters, as illustrated by a paper industry case study.
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