A modeller's perspective on infection dynamics within and between hosts
1Department of Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, The Netherlands. maiteseverins@gmail.com
Abstract:
The goal of this case-series was to increase our understanding of some complex within and between-host infection dynamics through the creation of mathematical and computational models that are able to capture the existing host and/or parasite heterogeneity. This goal was reached through a series of research projects (regarding experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) in mice, Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis infection in cattle, Eimeria acervulina infection in chicken and human malaria) that gradually build up in complexity of both the system modelled and the modelling techniques used. In this case-series, the vast majority of model components have a direct link with reality. The results have shown some detailed examples of the valuable contribution that models have in understanding infection processes. The most satisfying achievements have come from those models that were able to, in hindsight, make complicated experimental results seem obvious and logical, and where the process of building the model was as insightful as the final results. The models created in these projects help to explain a wide range of sometimes contradictory experimental results and are used to predict the effect of control measures. In addition, they generate ideas for the development of new methods of control.
Insights
Mathematical and computational models enhance understanding of complex infection dynamics by capturing host and parasite variations. These models simplify complex results and guide the development of new control strategies.
Area of Science:
- Infectious disease dynamics
- Mathematical modeling
- Computational biology
Background:
- Understanding complex host-parasite interactions is crucial for disease control.
- Existing models often struggle to incorporate host and parasite heterogeneity.
- A series of research projects were undertaken to address these limitations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop mathematical and computational models for complex infection dynamics.
- To capture host and/or parasite heterogeneity within these models.
- To enhance understanding of within- and between-host infection processes.
Main Methods:
- A case-series approach was used, progressing in model complexity.
- Models were developed for diverse systems: experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) in mice, Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis in cattle, Eimeria acervulina in chickens, and human malaria.
- Model components were designed with direct links to biological reality.
Main Results:
- Models successfully captured host and parasite heterogeneity.
- Complex experimental results were explained and simplified by the models.
- The modeling process itself provided significant insights.
Conclusions:
- Mathematical and computational models are valuable tools for understanding infection processes.
- Models can reconcile contradictory experimental findings.
- These models aid in predicting control measure efficacy and generating novel control strategies.
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